Unfortunately There Will Be An Estimated 2500 to 9300 New Cases Of Mesothelioma Annually Over The Next 20 Years
According to the following sources and projection models, the number of newly diagnosed asbestos-mesothelioma cases is at an all time high and this alarming situation will likely remain with us for the next 40 years or so.
In more detail, first, it is forecasted that anywhere from 2,500 to 9,300 new cases of malignant mesothelioma (“meso”) — mostly pleural mestothelioma, but also patients diagnosed with peritoneal and pericardium mesotheliomas — will be diagnosed in the U.S. annually over the next 20 plus years. See:
Projected Excess Deaths from All Asbestos-Related Cancers in Selected Occupations and Industries, United States, 1965-2029, Based on Study by Nicholson et al. (1982); and Ries LAG, Melbert D, Krapcho M, Mariotto A, Miller BA, Feuer EJ, Clegg L, Horner MJ, Howlader N, Eisner MP, Reichman M, Edwards BK (eds).
SEER Cancer Statistics Review, 1975-2004, National Cancer Institute. Bethesda, MD, http://seer.cancer.gov/csr/1975_2004/, based on November 2006 SEER data submission (last visited 10/12/2012).
Second, the number of newly diagnosed mesothelioma cases is not predicted to return to background levels until 2055. See:
Bertram Price and Adam Ware, Mesothelioma Trends in the United States: An Update Based on Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results Program Data for 1973 through 2003. Am. J. of Epidemiol 2004; 159:107-112
We will continue to monitor the medical literature for other sources of similar information concerning asbestos-mesothelioma diagnosis statistics, i.e., the number of new meso cases projected per year in the United States.
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